CONTROVERSY
Status:Open
Will Donald Trump Be Disqualified From Holding the Presidency?
UNLIKELYLIKELY
Claims
Robert A. Levy"[M]y bet is that... even the liberal justices will lean toward allowing voters to decide whether Trump is fit to be president."Dec 28, 2023
Center for American Progress"[A] plain and fair reading of Section 3... demonstrates that Trump is constitutionally disqualified from holding future public office."Feb 01, 2024
Asa HutchinsonThe Jan. 6 riot "is something that could disqualify him, under our rules, and under the constitution."Sep 03, 2023
MetaculusWill Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?
Ilya Somin"[T]he legal arguments against disqualification are ultimately unsound, and most are very weak."Dec 01, 2023
Steven Cheung"We are confident that the fair-minded Supreme Court will unanimously affirm the civil rights of President Trump, and the voting rights of all Americans."Jan 06, 2024
J. Michael Luttig"The former president's efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election, and the resulting attack on the US Capitol, place him squarely within the ambit of the disqualification clause."Sep 03, 2023
Steven Calabresi"I think it's really actually very clearcut... [Section 3 is] in general language, and so it applies to anyone who incites an insurrection or rebellion."Aug 20, 2023
Asa Hutchinson"This [the Jan. 6 riot] is something that could disqualify him, under our rules, and under the constitution."Sep 03, 2023