Claims
Katharine AM Wright"If the applications [to join NATO] are made, I'd... expect to see membership granted this year."Apr 15, 2022
Martin Hurt"The accession of either of these two countries [Sweden or Finland] is anything but imminent."Jan 05, 2022
Helmi Pillai"Turkey is clearly the more significant barrier for Finland and Sweden's accession into the alliance."Feb 16, 2023
Alexander Stubb"Anyone who is hoping for an immediate application for NATO membership, they're going to be disappointed."Mar 07, 2022
Sanna MarinFinland's decision on whether to join NATO "will happen quite fast. Within weeks, not within months."Apr 13, 2022
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan"Neither of these countries [Sweden and Finland] have a clear, open attitude towards terrorist organisation. How can we trust them [with NATO membership]?"May 17, 2022
Mélanie Joly"Our goal is to be among the first countries to be able to ratify the accession of Sweden and Finland."May 16, 2022
Wilson Center"[I]t is unlikely that either country [Finland or Sweden] will join NATO in the foreseeable future, barring any significant changes in the relations between the EU and Russia."Feb 02, 2024
Sanna MarinFinland is "very unlikely" to apply for a NATO membership during my current term in office.Jan 19, 2022
Peter Viggo Jakobsen"In the absence of a clear and present danger... from Russia, membership is not a viable option for Finnish or Swedish decisionmakers."May 21, 2014
MetaculusWill Finland join NATO before 2024?
Sanna Marin"Nobody can influence us [Finland], not the United States, not Russia, not anyone else."Jan 19, 2022
Alistair Shepherd"Finland's neutrality was... pragmatic and virtually forced upon them."Apr 15, 2022
Jens Stoltenberg"Finland and Sweden as NATO members will strengthen NATO and also strengthen our transatlantic bond."Jun 03, 2022
Katalin CsehOrban's blocking of Sweden and Finland's bids is "quite simply, another favor to Vladimir Putin."Mar 05, 2023
Peter Viggo Jakobsen"It seems rather pointless to discuss whether Finland and Sweden should join NATO since this clearly will not happen."May 21, 2014