Ecuador: Jailed Gang Leader Accused of Villavicencio's Murder

    Ecuador: Jailed Gang Leader Accused of Villavicencio's Murder
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    The Facts

    • Ecuadorian prosecutors investigating the killing of presidential candidate Fernando Villavicencio, which occurred days before the first round of voting last August, have alleged that the crime was planned and ordered from jail.

    • Los Lobos gang faction leader Carlos Edwin Angulo Lara, alias "The Invisible," is said to have given the order to kill Villavicencio from inside the CRS Cotopaxi jail, while Laura Dayanara Castillo — also a faction leader in the gang — allegedly handled the logistics.


    The Spin

    Pro-establishment narrative

    The high-profile assassination of Fernando Villavicencio wasn't an isolated incident in violence-ridden Ecuador, as gangs have killed many popular figures — from officials and politicians to athletes, artists, and prominent drug lords. As Quito has sought to curb the rising crime and corruption once and for all with a state of emergency, American support may prove to be crucial.

    Establishment-critical narrative

    One must be disturbingly naive at best to believe that further US interference is what Ecuador needs after the killing of a presidential candidate who had long been a CIA asset. Though Villavicencio fabricated lies to boost the Russiagate invention and resolutely obstructed the impeachment of US-backed Guillermo Lasso, his candidacy had turned him into a dangerous liability for the Agency.


    Metaculus Prediction


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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