FBI Investigating New Mexico Wildfires, Offers Reward

FBI Investigating New Mexico Wildfires, Offers Reward
Above: A firefighting helicopter departs toward the fire after taking on water to drop over the Hermits Peak/Calf Canyon Fire on June 2, 2022 near Las Vegas, New Mexico. Image copyright: Mario Tama/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • The FBI has offered a $10K reward to those who can provide information leading to the arrests and convictions of individuals responsible for starting recent wildfires in New Mexico.

  • Authorities are looking to identify the cause of the South Fork and the Salt fires, which both began on June 17. The agency believes the blazes may have been human-caused.


The Spin

Narrative A

This disastrous wildfire that killed two people and caused significant property damage, was likely caused by a human. The person or persons responsible for this tragedy should be found and held accountable for the destruction they caused. Hopefully, this reward will incentivize anyone with information to come forward.

Narrative B

New Mexico has been experiencing a particularly dry and windy last few months, and it's not impossible that this tragic disaster was caused naturally. New Mexico has been pummeled by an onslaught of weather stress lately ranging from severe drought to tropical storms to flash floods and golfball-sized hail.


Metaculus Prediction



Sign up to our daily newsletter