Report: Evidence Suggests Ethiopia Committed Genocide in Tigray War

Above: Refugees from the Tigray region of Ethiopia wait to be transferred to a camp with more infrastructure at a UNHCR reception area in the east Sudanese border village of Hamdayet on December 6, 2020 in Hamdayet, Sudan. Image copyright: Byron Smith/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • The New Lines Institute claimed in a new report published this week that evidence currently available reasonably indicates that Ethiopian federal forces and their allies have committed genocide against Tigrayans.

  • The Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF), along with the allied Eritrean Defense Forces (EDF) and regional militias, are accused of having engaged in several acts constituting the crime of genocide during the 2020-2022 Tigray war.


The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

The US has tacitly enabled crimes against humanity in Ethiopia, and prospects remain dim that anyone will ever be brought to justice as long as they remain in America's good graces. In an effort to strengthen ties with an ally, the US has cynically propped up this regime. Hopefully, the world will hold federal authorities in Ethiopia to account for their crimes.

Pro-establishment narrative

The Tigray War was a brutal conflict that tore a nation apart, and it's no secret that every side involved has committed war crimes. Instead of pointing fingers at each other now that peace is holding, Ethiopia must implement a credible transitional justice process to help victims and affected communities. Otherwise, the conflict risks reignition.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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