Report: 61% of Americans to Have a Cardiovascular Disease by 2050

Image copyright: Kenny Eliason via Unsplash

The Facts

  • A new report from the American Heart Association (AHA) estimates that 61% of American adults will have some form of cardiovascular disease (CVD) by the year 2050.

  • The report also predicts that 45M Americans will have a CVD — if high blood pressure is excluded — or suffer a stroke by the middle of the century, up from 28M in 2020. CVDs include high blood pressure, heart failure, and arrhythmia.


The Spin

Narrative A

At this very moment, we have a drug available that not only treats diabetes but greatly helps against all manner of cardiovascular diseases. Cultural discourse has obscured the reality that drugs like Ozempic are wildly effective and safe, and their widespread use could change the chronic disease landscape in this country. We need to expand access to these life-saving drugs before this coming CVD catastrophe.

Narrative B

Instead of resorting to pharmaceutical interventions, we need to go to the source of America's ailments. At the root of the CVD crisis is a low-quality food supply that encourages people to eat food that is bereft of nutritional value. If we start treating food as medicine — by taxing what's unhealthy and subsidizing what is healthy — we can finally get a grip on cardiovascular disease.


Metaculus Prediction